I must admit that being backed up by tribal unity is the key to winning any political seat in Tana River County and Kenya at large. Not all winners of elections are politically smart in the county. You will find out that some political leaders are in the position they hold because of mere endorsements by elders of their tribes. What am I trying to say here? Winning an election in Tana River without a back up by unity of your tribesmen is almost impossible!
The current Tana River County governor is a product of the same, not mentioning Galole MP Said Buya Hiribae and several others. It’s the Pokomo unity that actually made them leaders including other factors like political ability and financial muscle. However, the Pokomo unity is on it’s deathbed and will eventually die just before 2022 because of the following factors;
1. Divisions among Pokomos.
Pokomos that initially had nothing against governor Godhana are now divided with different views and opinions regarding the ability and zeal that he posses towards transforming the county to the level everybody thought and expected with a large chunk of them already regretting casting their ballots in his favour on 8/8.
These divisions are creating platforms for the Pokomo gubernatorial aspirants who failed to get endorsed or win, persuading members of the Pokomo Nation(Gasa Included) that endorsing or electing governor Godhana was a bad decision and it’s them who should have been given the chance. Come 2022 the divisions will lead to at least two gubernatorial aspirants because we do not expect governor Godhana to step down(Automatic endorsement). We also expect the group/gasa against Godhana endorse their own aspirant which will definately result to the death of pokomo unity.
2. Dado’s political rivalry
Since Dado was kicked out of the governor’s office we expect him to fight the Pokomo unity which was key to his failure to retain the county’s top seat. Among other things we expect him to bring on board are Pokomo aspirant whose sole role is to fetch a portion of the Pokomo votes. The aspirant will be fully funded to campaign in Pokomo populated areas. As a result some voters will support this aspirant because of his financial muscle. He/she will actually buy/influence the decision of the people thus killing the Pokomo unity.
3. The fall of the Gasa
The Gasa which play a key role in making sure the unity of the pokomos is intact often face opposition and sometimes divisions. In some cases you will found out that a section of the Gasa endorse aspirant X and another section endorse aspirant Y. This is expected to be rampant in 2022 because every aspirant is aiming at getting endorsed as it is the only way to winning any election. Aspirants will bribe sections of the Gasa to endorse them leading to a situation where the Gasa unity declines and therefore cannot bring the pokomo unity on board thus leading to the end of it.
LETS WAIT FOR KIVUMBI 2022, REMEMBER AM NOT A PROPHET OF DOOOM..!